Warm Winter 2021-22 U.S. HDD Forecast

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The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast is exceptionally warm for winter 2021-22. The problem is the high energy demand Northeast/Mid-Atlantic States are generally quite mild this winter limiting heating demand in that region while other sectors such as the West and North-central States can be very cold. The impact of sensible weather is driven by population.

Winter 2021-22 HDD Reference

Winter 2021-22 Gas Population Weight U.S. HDD Forecast Versus Normal

Winter 2021-22 Monthly HDD Anomalies Vs. Last 3 Years

Winter 2021-22 Climate Impact Company Selected Cities HDD Forecast

(%30-Year Normal)

Location%NML HDD

DEC/JAN/FEB

Classification%NML HDD NOV To MARClassification
Boston91.1ABOVE92.6ABOVE
Albany93.0ABOVE94.7ABOVE
Rochester92.4ABOVE93.6ABOVE
Hartford90.9ABOVE92.8ABOVE
New York City86.9MUCH ABOVE89.1MUCH ABOVE
Philadelphia86.2MUCH ABOVE89.2MUCH ABOVE
Baltimore87.1MUCH ABOVE90.5ABOVE
Washington85.3MUCH ABOVE88.8MUCH ABOVE
Richmond82.5MUCH ABOVE87.3MUCH ABOVE
Norfolk80.9MUCH ABOVE86.2MUCH ABOVE
Raleigh80.7MUCH ABOVE86.5MUCH ABOVE
Atlanta76.1MUCH ABOVE80.6MUCH ABOVE
Columbia75.6MUCH ABOVE82.5MUCH ABOVE
Charleston73.5MUCH ABOVE81.9MUCH ABOVE
Pittsburgh91.8ABOVE94.0ABOVE
Cleveland90.5ABOVE92.6ABOVE
Columbus88.9MUCH ABOVE91.9ABOVE
Cincinnati87.4MUCH ABOVE90.9ABOVE
Detroit91.6ABOVE94.0ABOVE
Chicago91.2ABOVE92.3ABOVE
Minneapolis100.2NORMAL98.4NORMAL
Des Moines92.5ABOVE91.9ABOVE
Kansas City90.4ABOVE89.1MUCH ABOVE
Dallas69.0MUCH ABOVE71.0MUCH ABOVE
Houston51.2MUCH ABOVE55.3MUCH ABOVE
Denver94.2ABOVE90.4ABOVE
Salt Lake City100.0NORMAL96.6ABOVE
Las Vegas100.5NORMAL91.0ABOVE
Seattle110.5MUCH BELOW106.1BELOW
Portland106.1BELOW101.4NORMAL
Sacramento105.9BELOW105.2BELOW
Burbank97.6NORMAL89.5MUCH ABOVE
Phoenix81.5MUCH ABOVE72.6MUCH ABOVE
U.S. – National88.6MUCH ABOVE89.4MUCH ABOVE