Ongoing Texas Heavy Rain Bursts/Flooding
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Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Monday, July 7, 2025
Highlight: Introducing thundershowers to suppress Europe heat. However, later July brings re-expanding heat and dryness.
Charts of the day: Europe rainfall pattern and soil conditions.
Discussion: During the past 30 days, the percent normal rainfall across Europe has become prohibitively dry. Consequently, soil moisture deficits have broadened and intensified. The anomalous temperature was extremely hot (3-7F) for west and south portions of Europe during the past 30 days helping to accelerate drought.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid July 13-19, 2025: Some welcome wet weather for Europe; Dry/hot weather to Southwest Russia.
Discussion: Utilizing AI Graph Cast in today’s week 2-4 outlook. Indicated is an eastward shift of the NAWH semi-permanent low pressure which enables wet weather to shift into west and central portions of Europe. The Europe heat eases due to the wetter change. However, the hot high-pressure ridge with attendant dryness shifts to Southwest Russia and Kazakhstan.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid July 20-26, 2025: Heat and dryness are broadening.
Discussion: Western Europe remains affected by showers and thundershowers while mostly dry and hot weather is located to the east across the remainder of Europe and into Southwest Russia/Black Sea region.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid July 27-August 2, 2025: Worsening drought.
Discussion: Anomalous heat and mostly dry conditions worsen Europe drought into early August.