Origin (and Continuation) of Dangerous Southwest/South Europe Storm Track
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Climate Impact Company Daily Feature
Issued: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Highlight: Warm and dry 2025-26 cold season so far with cold East exceptions.
Discussion: January 2026 ranked 24th warmest of the 132-year history across the U.S. (Fig. 1). The month was characterized by prohibitive warmth for much of the month followed by an arctic outbreak later in the month across the East. Despite the chill, Eastern States managed only top 25% coldest January (at best). January 2026 was very dry across the U.S. ranking 11th driest in the 132-year history (Fig. 2). The Carolinas and Northwest U.S. were the driest states. So far, the 2025-26 cold season (NOV-JAN) has been warm, ranking 4th warmest in the 132-year history (Fig. 3). Most of the western half of the U.S. has observed a record warm winter so far. Additionally, the cold season has been dry, ranking 11th driest in the 132-year history (Fig. 4). The dry zones are across the eastern half of the U.S. particularly the Carolinas, Florida, and Arkansas.
Fig. 1: NOAA state rankings for temperature observed January 2026.
Fig. 2: NOAA state rankings forprecipitation observed January 2026.
Fig. 3: NOAA state rankings for temperature observed November to January 2025-26.
Fig. 4: NOAA state rankings for precipitation observed November to January 2025-26.