Cooler U.S. CDD Forecast for Later June
06/11/2026, 9:33 am EDT
Climate Impact Company AG Hot Spot
Issued: Sunday June 14, 2026
Highlight: Cold risk to Southeast Brazil 11-15 days out; West Africa Coca continues wet pattern.
Fig. 1-3: AI GFS and ECM 11-15-day temperature anomaly forecast across Brazil and the 11-15-day ECM ENS risk <32F.
Discussion: The 11-15-day temperature anomaly forecasts by ECM and AI GFS indicate significant cold risk in Argentina to southwest and southeast Brazil (Fig. 1-2). Each model indicates the core of the cold is slightly different regions. In each scenario, the southern coffee growing areas of Brazil are very close to the <32F risk zone as indicated by ECM ENS (Fig. 3). Other forecast models are cool but not as cold.
The Tropical West Africa cocoa-growing areas continue to undergo heavy to extreme wet weather. The CMC ENS 15-day outlook emphasizes more rain on the way, some excessive (Fig. 4) with no let-up in the 16-30-day period according to ECM “weeklies” (Fig. 5).
Fig. 4-5: CMC ENS 15-day and ECM 16-30-day rainfall amount forecasts across Africa.