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Issued: Friday February 6, 2026
Highlight: Notable Eastern Europe cold spike of HDD during January.
Fig. 1: Europe selected cities consensus HDD for each month of the 2025-26 cold season.
Discussion: Europe East selected cities (Berlin, Munich, Vienna, and Milan) observed an exceptionally cold January with HDD count averaging 13% colder than normal while Europe West selected cities (Glasgow, Heathrow, Paris, Dusseldorf, and Berlin) were much closer to normal (Fig. 1). The outlook for FEB-26 is slightly colder than normal East and near normal West and in between the 30-year/10-year normal for March. Europe West monthly HDD has remarkably followed last winter seasons (monthly) character (Fig. 2) while JAN-26 is markedly colder than the past 2 winter seasons for Eastern Europe (Fig. 3).
Fig. 2: The Europe-West consensus of selected cities monthly HDD forecast.
Fig. 3: The Europe-East consensus of selected cities monthly HDD forecast.