A dangerous tropical cyclone season is ahead for the North Atlantic basin. A warm North Atlantic coupled with a potential weak La Nina is the recipe for an active season with above average number of hurricanes. Climate Impact Company projects a blocking high pressure over northeastern North America during peak of season which could cause systems near the U.S. East Coast to turn inland.

Rare are 3 consecutive months of the same intense polar vortex location during the winter season. However, the lack of displacement of the polar vortex from the North Pole during winter 2019-20 was a leading catalyst to the increased mild maritime influence across most of the continental northern hemisphere causing a record warm winter.

According to the Canadian Ensemble temperature departures from normal are in the -6F to -12F range for much of Europe in the 6-10 day period. Crop areas will receive morning low temperatures in the 20's. The pattern is inspired by the first negative phase North Atlantic oscillation since last November.

The Pacific decadal oscillation flipped to the cool phase in early 2020. There is a tendency for PDO and ENSO to run parallel. Will ENSO flip to La Nina later in 2020?