News
07/20/2022, 4:50 am EDT

MJO/Very Warm Mediterranean Sea Maintain Hot/Dry Europe Pattern

The intense heat in U.K. fades. However, GFS trends hotter/drier in the 15-day forecast. The anomalous heat remains widespread while shifting slightly eastward. The heat core moves into East/Southeast Europe to finish July.
07/19/2022, 4:55 am EDT

Africa ITCZ Leads to Europe Heatwave

Typical of Europe heatwaves, extreme heat from the African Desert is propelled northward by the subtropical ridge this time inspired by the combination of a strong Africa ITCZ and an offshore Southwest Europe low-pressure area. The southerly flow ahead of the low-pressure area guided an amplified subtropical ridge into Western Europe to deliver historic heat the past few days.
07/14/2022, 8:53 am EDT

July 22-28, 2022 Forecast is Second Hottest in U.S. of Past 20 Years

The Climate Impact Company U.S. CDD projection for the last week of July is 103 which is second hottest to 105 CDD observed in 2016 (using NOAA CDD data). The last week of July in 2011 is a close 3rd hottest from the last 20 years and along with 2016 and the 2022 projection the only last week of July to produce over 100 CDD.
07/12/2022, 8:01 am EDT

Flash Drought Central U.S. Ahead

Large regions of deep-layer soil moisture deficits are caused by long-term (usually 9 months or more) precipitation shortages. In the U.S. and generally east of the Continental Divide, presence of large areas of deep-layer soil moisture deficits can foreshadow flash drought risk areas.