01/02/2022, 8:36 am EST

Expanding drought concerns in U.S. heading toward Q2/2022!

A conservative U.S. drought forecast is most-focused on West-central to Mid-south U.S. drought expansion/strengthening while also strengthening drought from the Carolinas to Florida. The “caveat” (and more extreme scenario) forecast projects a wider drought stretching across the southern half of the U.S. and possibly into the Western U.S. Corn Belt.
12/30/2021, 3:58 pm EST

ECMWF Snowfall Forecasts in the East Through 10 Days

Inevitable is the evolution of a snowy pattern Central to Northeast U.S. given the large cold air source region in Western Canada to the North-central U.S. The clash of that cold with milder temperatures in the East means snow or rain-to-snow events from Kansas to New England in the 10-day outlook.
12/22/2021, 8:36 am EST

Warm Winter 2021-22 U.S. HDD Forecast

The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast is exceptionally warm for winter 2021-22. The problem is the high energy demand Northeast/Mid-Atlantic States are generally quite mild this winter limiting heating demand in that region while other sectors such as the West and North-central States can be very cold. The impact of sensible weather is driven by population.