05/01/2024, 8:46 am EDT

The Brazil Drought is Worsening

Extremely dry weather was observed the last week of April across South-central to Coastal Brazil. The 10-day outlook maintains the dryness with high temperatures consistently in the 32-35C range. The dry pattern widens during the period.
04/29/2024, 5:08 am EDT

ECM ENS (Dynamic Model) Vs. AI 4CastNet V2 (AI Model) for U.S. in 10+ Days

Siding with the AI 4Cast Net V2 forecast direction heading into mid-May. Why? Cooling of the western North Atlantic as previously stated last week. NCEP CFS V2 is the operational model capturing this philosophy. The model is substantially cooler than ECM. A marked cool change is indicated for the Midwest U.S. with a southern shift from Canada to the Mid-south States of the wet weather belt. A major change!
04/26/2024, 4:35 am EDT

Cooling Western North Atlantic Foreshadows Cooler East U.S. Coast Weather in May

A super warm global ocean surface is in the news! However, not all oceanic zones are warm. Norte the 1-year change in the western North Atlantic. The western North Atlantic has cooled to near normal during mid-spring. The cooling waters foreshadow presence of an upper trough on the East Coast for much of May.