News
01/28/2025, 8:45 am EST

Madden Julian Oscillation on the Move; Warms U.S.

The convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) is forecast to shift eastward from Maritime Continent in early February (phase_4) toward the Dateline as middle third of February arrives (phase_6). The MJO projection across the locations identified favor a warming (Pacific maritime) influence on U.S. climate.
01/24/2025, 8:19 am EST

Evolution of the January 2025 Arctic Uutbreak and Winter Storm “Enzo”

During mid-January, an arctic air mass formed in Northern Canada and Greenland. After the arctic air mass formed, a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) episode emerged over Canada. The warming and expanding stratosphere quickly compensated for by a cooling troposphere beneath, as a polar vortex formed in central North America.
01/22/2025, 6:02 am EST

Lengthy Period of Dryness Next Several Weeks Eastern Europe/Western Russia

A drying soil moisture trend is established across parts of West and Southwest Russia into Eastern Europe plus west/southwest Italy to Portugal and Northwest Africa. Last week, a very dry pattern stretched across most of Europe and Western Russia. The dryness is attributed to general high pressure aloft downwind a large marine heatwave in the east/northeast North Atlantic. The 15-day outlook maintains dryness across Eastern Europe and Southwest Russia.