05/29/2020, 8:31 am EDT

Why La Nina Could Be Stronger

Global SSTA models are forecasting a major contrast between ocean surface temperatures across the eastern equatorial Pacific (cool) versus the far western Pacific and eastern Indian Oceans (warmer). The contrasting ocean temperatures lead to stronger trade winds across the eastern Pacific tropics possibly increasing La Nina strength and duration.
05/21/2020, 12:00 pm EDT

NOAA 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

NOAA/NHC issues their 2020 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity forecast. The outlook indicates above normal activity similar to forecasts issued in early April by other leading (market) providers. The seasonal forecast indicates 13-19 tropical storms, 6-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major hurricanes.
05/19/2020, 10:44 am EDT

Warmer Than Normal Ocean Surface Lead To Frequent and More Powerful Tropical Cyclones This Season

Already three tropical cyclones have formed in the northern hemisphere before the official June 1 start to the tropical cyclone season. Warmer-than-normal ocean water played a key role in leading to the formation of Arthur east of Florida, rapid intensification of Vongfong to a category 3 tropical cyclone before striking the Philippines and emergence of a category 5 tropical cyclone (Amphan) in the Bay of Bengal.
05/15/2020, 8:58 am EDT

Kansas Dryness Expanding and Intensifying

The lack of rainfall across the west/southwest Great Plains continues. The result is the development of D3/D2 drought in southwest Kansas which is expanding. The dryness in this zone features BOTH shallow and deep layer moisture deficits making this region susceptible to intense flash drought if hot weather over a period of 7-10 days develops during the summer season.