10/18/2023, 8:27 am EDT

Where Is The Worst Drought/Drought Potential Areas?

Deep layer (10-200 CM) soil moisture deficits are often caused by lack of rainfall over a lengthy (at least 9 months) time-period. This condition generally involves drought development at the surface and potential for flash drought if a dry and anomalous hot weather pattern settles over the area. Dramatic events are inspired by these conditions.
10/17/2023, 5:26 pm EDT

Amazon River at Manaus Lowest in Over 100 Years as Drought Worsens

Sign of a long-term dry climate, deep layer soil moisture deficits identify where drought can intensify and where water levels/soil moisture are critically low. Manaus on the Amazon River reported their lowest river level in over one century.
10/10/2023, 1:59 pm EDT

SEP and JUL/AUG/SEP 2023 U.S. Climate Highlights: Gulf States Torrid Heat and Drought; Soaking Wet New England

The stress on the public and infrastructure of the summer 2023 heat across the Gulf States was immense. And ideal source region for heat elsewhere, the U.S. ranked 3rd hottest in the 129-year climatology for JUL/AUG/SEP 2023. During that 3-month period, New Mexico, Texas, Louisiana, and Florida observed their hottest mid-to-late summer on record.
10/09/2023, 7:57 pm EDT

Weird El Nino Likely to Peak End of Year, Dissipate Next Year

The JUL/AUG multivariate ENSO index (MEI) failed to indicate evolution of an El Nino climate despite the robust oceanic El Nino presence across the equatorial East Pacific. Consequently, adjustments of the ENSO 2023-24 forecast considering MEI indicate that despite a robust warm equatorial East Pacific SSTA regime continuing to strengthen during Q4/2023, the attendant El Nino climate is likely moderate.