News
10/06/2024, 8:47 am EDT

Rare East-moving Gulf of Mexico Intensifying Hurricane This Week

The NOAA/NHC 5-day outlook strengthens Milton to a hurricane tonight with due east movement continuing to early Tuesday followed by intensification to a category-3 major hurricane while turning east-northeast Tuesday afternoon. Milton maintains that track and makes landfall as a category-3 major hurricane in the Tampa, FL area late Wednesday afternoon.
10/04/2024, 11:35 am EDT

U.S. Warm and Dry Pattern Continues, Drought Expansion!

Expansive drought is observed across the U.S. entering October. In early October, 42% of the U.S. is in a drought condition. The aerial coverage has increased significantly in one month (30% in early September). Since early July, U.S. drought has more than doubled aerial coverage.
10/02/2024, 4:54 am EDT

Parched Brazil Crop Areas to Receive Some Rainfall

The upper ridge over Brazil breaks down during the medium range. An energetic mid-latitude flow enables cold fronts to push farther north. Frontal systems deliver much needed rain to key crop areas in Brazil most notably in the medium range. Meanwhile, a marine heatwave is forming off the Brazil Coast.
10/01/2024, 8:15 am EDT

Much of U.S. Turning Scary Dry First half of October Especially Great Plains

The U.S. Weekly Crop Moisture Index analysis for late September reveals widespread regions of significant soil moisture deficit particularly in the Great Plains to Texas while Helene eased the previous dryness in the eastern and southern Ohio Valley. Outside of tropical cyclone risk, apparently focused on Florida in the AIFS 15-day outlook, the entire U.S. AG Belt is very dry featuring no rain throughout the Great Plains.