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Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Highlight: Lack of snow cover helps to inspire a warm December.
Charts of the day: CIC November 2025 forecast vs. observations.
Discussion: The NOV-25 climate across Europe was normally cool except for warmer than normal Southeast Europe and Black Sea region. Patchy wet weather was observed across Europe during NOV-25. The Climate Impact Company constructed analog temperature forecast for NOV-25 correctly forecast NORMAL across Europe with anomalous warmth in Western Russia. The precipitation forecast was too wet across Northwest Eurasia.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid December 7-14, 2025: Southwest Europe/North Africa storm tracks.
Discussion: Deep upper trough off the West Coast of Europe ignites a storm track into Southwest Europe and across North Africa while flooding Europe to Western Russia with mild maritime air.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid December 14-21, 2025: Staying mild.
Discussion: The upper-level pattern is stuck maintaining Southwest Europe/Northern Africa storm tracks while keeping Europe/Western Russia mild.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid December 21-28, 2025: Lack of snow cover, continued mild.
Discussion: The outlook is resistant to cold air. The mild pattern is preventing snow cover from forming to help initiate any cold.