ECMWF 30-day MJO forecast indicates and intense signature shifting through the eastern equatorial Pacific and into the tropical Atlantic during March. Normally, during early meteorological spring, MJO shifting into this region with intensity produces a cold U.S. upper trough pattern as indicated by ECMWF "Weeklies".

Most global SSTA forecasts reveal El Nino for the northern hemisphere summer of 2023 plus widespread marine heat waves in the mid-latitude oceans. If so, 2023 is likely the warmest year on record, a common occurrence during the past 10-15 years.

Anomalous heat is generating across Australia thanks to a titanic semi-permanent high-pressure area centered on Western Australia through the next 1-2 weeks. The hottest day of many ahead appears to be February 20th when widespread 100-115F (38-46C) is observed.

Torrid heat and dryness is about end in Argentina as a strong cold front arrives Thursday triggering a few heavy thunderstorms and causing a surge of much cooler weather to shift north into Southern Brazil. Much cooler air across the Argentina drought region follows. Most of the rain associated with the front is across Southwest Brazil. Hot weather and dryness will regenerate in Argentina in the 6-10-day period.