The combination of long duration of vividly effective dynamic forcing to produce extreme rainfall caused yet another historic rainfall episode in southeast Texas.

The equatorial East Pacific surface and subsurface is cooling steadily. The East-central to far eastern equatorial Pacific surface has cooled to below normal. The subsurface East Pacific equatorial region has also cooled. Neutral ENSO is in-place but the short-term trend is toward La Nina.

During the past 3 months across the globe there were 18 regions of drier soil moisture conditions compare to only 8 wetter regimes.

Autumn 2019 looks warm across Canada according to the latest 90-day outlook from the Canadian Meteorological Center. The catalyst to the warm forecast is the exceptionally warm ocean surface surrounding North America.