The North Atlantic basin is forecast to maintain an unusually high amount of convection mostly in the deep tropics extending well into November. The risk of additional tropical cyclones is high but any storms that form will stay out to sea.

High wind episodes are ahead for the Great Plains! The onset of the high wind is Friday across the southern Great Plains and peak wind is Sunday/Monday covering much of the Great Plains and East-central/Midwest U.S. Wind power generation exceeds 95% across a large area for several days.

More heavy rain is on the way for East Australia! Currently, weather satellite view identifies an emerging storm centered on the central south coast of Australia. A cold front is focusing thunderstorms northward to central continent. This system is the latest in a series produced by a steady trail of potent upper troughs moving across Southern Australia. The transient heavy-rain-producing troughs continue the second half of October.

The prevailing view of most winter 2022-23 forecasts for the U.S. is a very La Nina-like South/East U.S. warmer-than-normal regime associated with dryness. A wet risk is enhanced in the Midwest States and possibly the Northwest U.S. In Europe, a milder-than-normal winter climate is indicated. Climate Impact Company disagrees. The CIC-CA forecast indicates a pattern much more conducive of cold weather risk.