Over-the-weekend severe weather produced 609 damage reports Sunday and 259 damage reports Saturday (a total of 868). The next event sets-up tomorrow in Texas to Missouri shifting into the Southeast Thursday.

The Great Flood on 2019 continues to maintain soaking wet fields in the Midwest U.S. while soil moisture across Southern Canada remains limited still awaiting snowmelt in some areas. Parts of the Brazil drought zone have eroded while in Europe dryness is stronger France to Spain. The Australian drought has improved while Southeast Asia to Western Indonesia drought worsens.

An indicator of the atmospheric connection to El Nino warming of the equatorial East Pacific is the southern oscillation index. After a robust EL Nino signature in FEB/MAR the evolving El Nino climate fades as strong +SOI emerges.

A very hot summer 2018 was foreshadowed by a widening dry-to-drought condition. This year widespread record wet soils are evident in the Central Plains, Midwest and East U.S. The soil moisture regime foreshadows a borderline anomalous hot summer ahead.