New Concern…Evolving (MJO-inspired) Heavy Rain/Severe Weather Pattern South-central U.S. Next Week
02/26/2026, 8:14 am EST
Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Australia
Issued: Monday, March 2, 2026
Highlight: Heavy rains continue centered on Queensland.
Chart of the day: 10-day percent of normal rainfall forecast.
Discussion: As many as 3 tropical cyclones are forecast in the 10-day rainfall outlook for Australia according to ECMWF.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid March 8-15, 2026: Tropical cyclones enhance heavy rain risk.
Discussion: Next week, the wet weather pattern continues with residual enhancement from tropical cyclone activity, especially in Queensland.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid March 15-22, 2026: Stays wet.
Discussion: More wet weather for most of Australia, especially north and northeast continent.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid March 22-29, 2026: More rain especially Queensland.
Discussion: More rain across the Interior East; tropical cyclone activity is possible on the Queensland Coast.