Western Europe Heatwave Ahead!

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Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook

Europe/Western Russia

Issued: Friday, August 1, 2025

Highlight: Western Europe heatwave; Much of Europe is dry.

Charts of the day: Recent rainfall and Europe soil moisture.

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Discussion: During late July, Central and East Europe shifted to wetter while West Europe and the Black Sea region were very dry. Soil moisture analysis maintains torrid drought in the Black Sea region.

Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 10-16, 2025: West Europe heat!

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Discussion: Hot weather emerges in Western Europe beneath an amplified upper-level high-pressure ridge also causing widespread dryness across Europe to the Black Sea region.

Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid August 17-23, 2025: Continued very warm to hot and dry.

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Discussion: The upper air pattern is less amplified although Western Europe and much of Europe dryness is maintained. The Black Sea region remains dry.

Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid August 24-30, 2025: Less hot, still dry.

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Discussion: The late August forecast tapers the Europe heat except Portugal and Spain. However, dryness remains dominant.