The NOAA fire danger forecast for June through September certainly highlights the West Coast as a primary target. The Northwest is most reliably in a danger zone given evolving drought. California observed a wet spring therefore the fire danger may evolve more slowly there. The Southeast fire danger eases due to short-term rains.

Labrador Current is colder than normal bringing frequent fogs and chill weather to coastal New England while robust warm Gulf Stream contibutes to the warm surge across the Mid-Atl;antic and Southeast States.

The Madden Julian oscillation has frequently shifted across the equatorial East Pacific/Atlantic during the past 12 months making available tropical moisture to be entrained by the U.S. storm track to drive what has been the wettest 12 months in history. In May the MJO was very intense and the catalyst to the extraordinary severe weather pattern across the U.S.

The Southeast is turning drier and the potential for flash drought increases as late spring anomalous heat and dryness arrives and lasts for at least 10 days.