News
09/27/2024, 6:12 am EDT

Helene is Inland; Widespread Dangerous Weather Persists

Helene made landfall at 11:10PM EDT last evening as a category-4 major hurricane near the mouth of the Aucilla River in the northwest Florida Big Bend area. Helene is downgraded to a tropical storm located about 40 miles east of Macon, GA. Widespread destructive effects associated with this storm continue.
09/26/2024, 5:42 pm EDT

Helene Likely to Reach Category-4 Major Hurricane Intensity Making Landfall in Northwest Florida

At 5AM EDT, Category-3 Major Hurricane Helene was located at 27.9N/84.6W or about 130 miles west of Tampa and 175 miles south of Tallahassee. The maximum sustained wind is 125 mph, and Helene is accelerating to 23 mph toward the north-northeast. Central pressure is 951 MB. Helene is developing rapidly while accelerating. An exceptionally violent storm.
09/24/2024, 4:54 am EDT

IOD Likely to Stay Neutral Well Into 2025

Reviewing the 1993-2024 monthly IOD index, positive phase spikes are usually followed by the negative phase. A sharp +IOD was observed in 2023 fading earlier this year. Anticipated (earlier this year) was generation of a new negative phase. However, monthly observations during 2024 reveal a steady neutral phase.
09/23/2024, 1:51 pm EDT

Nino34 SSTA Reaches La Nina Threshold

Last week, the Nino34 SSTA cooled to the La Nina threshold. Other Nino SSTA regions remain in the neutral phase. The key to ENSO phase ahead is (mostly) the upper ocean heat observation and trend near and east of the Dateline. Recently, the cool waters in the eastern equatorial Pacific subsurface have strengthened and shifted eastward to the Dateline.