U.S. Climate Rankings for Each State in July

Climate Impact Company U.S. Medium Range Report

Issued: Tuesday August 12, 2025

Highlight: Heat shifts westward.

Charts of the day: July U.S. state-by-state climate rankings.

Discussion: The U.S. observed the 19^th hottest July in the 131-year climatology. Virginia and West Virginia were hottest on record for mid-summer. The eastern third of the U.S. was MUCH ABOVE normal during July. In July, the U.S. observed the 34^th wettest mid-summer on record. Despite the heat, Virginia observed the 6^th wettest July on record. Iowa observed their 2^nd wettest July on record. Some states were very dry including Utah, Alabama, and Maine.

Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid August 17-21, 2025 (24-hour change right)

Discussion: Potent upper trough over East Canada produces an unseasonably cool air mass across Quebec which extends southward to New England. Hot weather lingers south of this air mass Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic States early in the period before turning cooler. Hot weather continues in the Great Plains.

Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid August 22-26, 2025 (24-hour change right)

Discussion: Upper ridge anchors over the West as anomalous heat expands. A broad upper trough leaves the East U.S. with near normal temperature.

U.S. Medium-range Precipitation Forecast

Discussion: Severe storms with additional heavy rain are likely in the Midwest U.S. in the 6-10-day period. Meanwhil4e, Erin turns northward and stays off the U.S. East Coast. In the 11-15-day period, a broad trough causes showers and thunderstorms in the Southeast States while the Midwest shifts drier and the West Coast is (also) dry.

Days 16-20 Extended range Temperature Forecast valid August 27-31, 2025

Discussion: ECM is hot in the Southwest while the East is temperate. Most of the nation is dry except wet weather on the Northwest Coast.