Strong Negative North Atlantic Oscillation Brings High Impact Wintery Weather to U.S. and Europe!
11/14/2024, 5:38 am EST
The Inevitability of a Northeast U.S. Drought Caused by the North Atlantic Warm Hole Upper Air Pattern
11/17/2024, 6:52 am EST
Charts of the day: Europe chill and widening snow cover.
Discussion: -NAO pattern inspires a vigorous stormy and cold trough across Europe centered on the 6-10-day period. Snow cover has lagged over northwestern Eurasia. However, during the next 10 days snow cover widens into Europe.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid November 24-30, 2024: Less cold, still chilly in Europe.
Discussion: CFS V2 lingers the cold weather although without previous amplitude beneath a weakening trough centered on Central Europe.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid December 1-7, 2024: Favoring cooler CFS V2 over warmer ECM.
Discussion: Broad upper trough remains and keeps much of Europe temperate. Storminess shifts to the Black Sea region.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid December 8-14, 2024: Upper trough rests on the Black Sea region.
Discussion: Upper ridge builds on the West Europe Coast while the upper low chills the Black Sea region.