The CIC-CA outlook for NOV/DEC/JAN 2022-23 indicates anomalous warmth across the Canadian Prairies, Great Plains and East-central U.S. plus the Southwest States. New England and Southeast Canada are also milder than normal. By comparison, the NOAA/CPC outlook indicates the likelihood of warmer than normal temperature across California, the Southwest U.S., and the South States plus the East Seaboard.

Rain-soaked soils across southwest into southeast Brazil receive more rainfall this week. In the 6-10-day period this entire area turns dry with no rain expected. However, in the 11-15-day period, the forecast trend is for the rain to return to this important Brazil crop area.

Climate Impact Company expects dry climate to spread from Argentina into Southeast Brazil as summer 2022-23 approaches. The onset of that pattern change is ahead and on display in the latest week 2-4 outlook.