The Climate Impact Company 4-week gas population weight observed weekly HDD anomalies identifiers the warm December but is trending toward a colder scenario in January.

While much of Brazil has been soaking wet in recent months, the southeast has remained mostly dry. Additionally, long-term rainfall deficits imply deep layer soil moisture dryness. Northeast Argentina is trending very dry and hot to help accelerate drought concerns.

A review of the NOAA/CPC long-lead climate outlooks issued late last week compared to Climate Impact Company (for January).

The morning weather satellite picture across South America identifies the prevailing early meteorological summer pattern. A persistent upper trough extending from well east of Uruguay to northeast Brazil maintains a wet pattern for much of Brazil. However, trailing the upper trough, an upper ridge brings a dry climate pattern to Argentina to far Southeast Brazil.