The U.S. population weight CDD forecast has shifted significantly hotter for the week ending July 9th. The consensus is near 100 CDD, almost 15 CDD warmer than the 10-year normal.

The daily North Atlantic basin SSTA analysis is mixed with a large subtropical marine heatwave (MHW) east of Florida and a large North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH) south of Greenland extending southwestward to the Northeast Coast.

The record heat across Europe, centered on France, roars on this week likely to last through June before a pattern change that shifts temperatures toward normal. The less hot pattern change is driven by a shift in the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) from positive to negative phase.

A lot of market interest on PJM-East heat risk for late June. The latest 15-day forecast reveals most models indicate heatwave potential. ALL MODELS project 93-95 for Washington, DC. GFS ENS is hottest at 98.