Eduardo is shifting over 31C surface water in a light shear environment. Rapid intensification is possible, given the light shear environment. NOAA/NHC issues a Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Warning for the Upper Texas and Southwest Louisiana Coast.

Southern Europe heat rebuilds during late calendar summer. ECM ENS indicates vigorous warm temperature anomalies during the next 15 days which include widespread 95F/35C risk for Southwest and Southeast Europe.

The subtropical North Atlantic basin is warming significantly as September 1st approaches partly due to lack of tropical cyclones tracking through these waters to up-well cooler water. The Gulf of America is near 1.0C warmer than normal while the western North Atlantic basin is 1.25C warmer than normal. Actual surface temperatures are in the 86-87F/30-31C range sufficient for explosive intensification for any tropical cyclones passing over the very warm waters.

Two systems are monitored in the North Atlantic tropics this morning. A tropical disturbance east of Bermuda is drifting north with a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone, according to NOAA/NHC, this week.