U.S. Crop Areas Hit By Heavy Rain Vs. Extreme Heat
07/20/2025, 12:16 pm EDT
Marine Heatwave Inspires China to Japan Extreme Heat
07/23/2025, 12:38 pm EDT
Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Tuesday, July 22, 2025
Highlight: Eastern Europe to The Black Sea region is wetter/cooler.
Charts of the day: Recent rainfall and daily soil moisture.
Discussion: The recent rainfall pattern across Europe has featured a new wet zone extending from U.K. to Poland to Eastern Europe causing previously dry soils in this region to erode.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid July 27-August 2, 2025: Cool and wet Eastern Europe; Using AI 4Cast Net V2 (vs. ECM).
Discussion: AI 4Cast Net V2 ECM ENS is used operationally due to the much higher skill score compared to traditional operational models during the past 30 days. The outlook is considerably cooler across Eastern Europe where a wet pattern resides. Wet and cool weather extends to the Black Sea region.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid August 3-9, 2025: Significant cooler/wetter pattern for the Black Sea region.
Discussion: The cool regime shifts to the Black Sea region in a significant forecast change. The cool zone is accompanied by a showery regime. Western Europe warms and is dry.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid August 10-16, 2025: Warmer/drier Europe.
Discussion: In mid-August, West to Central Europe is warming with dry weather.