Given the new source region for extreme heat...the D3/D4 drought area across the Canadian Prairies and North-central U.S., anomalous heat can easily shift eastward reaching Minnesota in 10 days.

Profound drought continues across the western and north-central portion of the U.S. Rainfall deficits are routinely 9-12 inches and sometimes >15 inches sprawled across the western states to the Dakotas and Minnesota. The 2-week trend indicates the rainfall shortages are steady except increasing in the Columbia Basin and the Upper Midwest particularly Minnesota into northern Iowa.

Given the historic western U.S. drought there is no surprise on the record heat observed in the West (and nationally) during June 2021.

Colorado State University has raised the 2021 seasonal activity forecast for North Atlantic tropical cyclones to 20 tropical storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 intense hurricanes. The ACE index is now 160. The Climate Impact Company concern is amounts could be higher due to the lingering La Nina climate as defined by multi-variate ENSO index.