Expect unseasonably chilly air to emerge in the 8-14-day period with coolest anomalies across East Europe and West Russia. Threshold temperatures include <32F across much of central and east portions of Europe and west sections of Russia in the 6-10-day period.

Of added importance to the forecast is cold weather. Focused primarily on the 8-14-day period, a chilly early April is indicated especially for the Eastern Corn Belt. The risk of <32F extends to the Tennessee Valley and across the Midwest U.S. with widespread 20’s reaching the Ohio Valley in the 11-15-day period.

While 11-15-day forecasts are disagreeable on whether the heavy rain pattern fades in Northeast/East Australia, the 10-day forecasts are confident. The ECM ENS indicates up to 12 inches of rain for Southwest Queensland in their latest 10-day outlook.  

The North Atlantic basin remains warmer than normal but not as warm as one year ago. The main development region (MDR) has cooled to near normal. A marine heatwave in the subtropical North Atlantic remains but has weakened while very warm SSTA continue in the Caribbean Sea and parts of the Gulf of Mexico.