Henri is forecast to move farther west before a north turn in about 36 hours. Consequently, tropical cyclone models are closer to southeast New England by early next week. Henri will strengthen to a hurricane during the north turn and maintain minimal hurricane strength southeast of New England early next week.

Climate Impact Company upgrades the intensity risk forecast for Tropical Storm Grace to a potential category 3 major hurricane by later Friday in the southwest Gulf of Mexico.

A close look at emerging Tropical Depression 6 indicates a developing system. A tail of convection extends into the deeper tropics implying entrainment of high moisture content tropical air generally associated with intensification. This system has convection in all quadrants around an inner core, also a sign of organization.

A long-term established drought across Turkey has expanded westward to Italy and Southeast Europe during summer 2021. The 15-day forecast indicates further westward expansion is possible as hot and dry weather emerges for the middle third of August.