Regions Of Drought AND Wet Soil Moisture Across the U.S.
07/13/2021, 10:34 am EDTExcessive Rainfall In Germany. Storm Shifts To Southeast Europe.
07/15/2021, 8:25 am EDT
Fig. 1: The midday 12Z GFS projects 117F on the Minnesota/North Dakota state line on Saturday July 24. 110-112F is common in North/South Dakota. Minneapolis surges to 114F!
Fig. 2-3: The midday 12Z GFS trended slightly warmer in the western Great Plains and cooler in Ontario during the 6-10-day period. A wetter change was made Wisconsin to Ohio in the 6-10-day period while Louisiana is wetter.
Fig. 4-5: The midday 12Z GFS is hotter in the Great Plains in the 11-15-day period while the Missouri Valley turns drier. Near Chicago, gully-washer thunderstorms bring a wetter forecast change.
| Dates | CDD Forecast | 12-hr Change | 24 hours ago | 10-year NML | 30-year NML |
| Jul 9-15 | 79.0 | _-0.4 | 80.1 | 86.8 | 79.9 |
| Jul 16-22 | 84.1 | -5.9 | 91.0 | 87.5 | 81.3 |
| Jul 23-29 | 97.6 | -1.8 | 98.0 | 85.4 | 80.5 |
Table 1: The 12Z GFS population weight CDD forecast compared to the 30-year/10-year normal and 12 and 24 hours ago. The forecast is slightly cooler since yesterday at this time through next week.