Heavy rains have caused widespread flooding across New South Wales this weekend due to a moist onshore tropical flow into a low-pressure trough made more intense by a blocking high-pressure area to the south. A low-pressure area has formed along the low-pressure trough in far northwest New South Wales.

NOAA/CPC is indicating a fairly robust stratospheric warming event centered on the U.S. East Coast at the end of March. Although not in the ideal polar location, the event would be enough to cause the troposphere below to cool.

A busy Sunday across the U.S. featuring adverse last-gasp winter weather events. A major Central U.S. storm continues…heavy snows across the central Rocky Mountains including blizzard conditions in Wyoming to western Nebraska while flooding from weekend rains continues across Kansas and Missouri.

Significant warming took place last week across the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. The Nino34 SSTA region warmed 0.5C to -0.7C which is just-below the La Nina threshold. The Nino3 and Nino12 regions warmed to neutral phase.