Late Season Surge of Northwest Pacific Tropical Cyclones
11/11/2024, 8:52 am EST
-NAO Causes U.S. and Europe Storms Including Early Season Chill for Europe
11/13/2024, 5:49 am EST
Daily IOD Index: -0.49 (steady)
Daily Nino34: -0.36 (steady)
Chart of the day: Hottest Oct. 10 to Nov. 9 since 2015.
Discussion: The past 30 days are scorching hot across Australia, the hottest since 2015.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid November 17-23, 2024: Cooling rains.
Discussion: Titanic ridge south of Australia is countered by a wet trough that cools Western and Eastern Australia next week.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid November 24-30, 2024: Hot Southeast.
Discussion: The upper ridge south of Australia shifts eastward in late November and ridges dry and hot weather into Southeast Australia. Wet weather continues over west/central continent.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid December 1-7, 2024: Showery regime.
Discussion: Weak wet upper trough anchors over northwestern continent. Meteorological summer begins with a showery regime across Australia.