Strong opposing cross-polar 10 MB height anomalies as forecast by GFS in 10 days are characteristic of strong +RI events. Based on the research, what can follow in 2-3 weeks is a shift in the troposphere of a mild 500 MB ridge pattern over North America (as forecast for the next 1-2 weeks) to shift northwestward forming a ridge bridge pattern over Alaska.

In the East, a departing El Nino storm continues to raise havoc over the Northeast Corridor featuring ongoing flooding rains in southern and eastern New England where high wind is also occurring leading to patchy power outages.

During November 2023, negative velocity potential was responsible for gully-washer rains over Northeast Africa and in the Central Pacific near the Dateline. Positive values associated with a dry climate stretched across the eastern tropical Indian ocean to Western Australia plus western South America.

A weighty arctic air mass develops, expands, and intensifies across Russia this week. Next week, the air mass migrates southward reaching Afghanistan and all of Tibet to Northeast China. In the 11-15-day period, the arctic air is released into China moderating to the south of snow cover.