Global soil moisture trend during the past 3 months was overwhelmingly much wetter on each continent. Most notable was the expansion of wet soils across East and South Asia especially India. A much wetter change was observed across Japan. In Australia, the southwest and southeast corner were drier while the remainder of the Australian East Coast to northern areas were much wetter.

Currently, warnings for ongoing brush/forest fires are issued for most of South-central to East-central Canada. The hazard has increased dramatically this week. However, wet weather appears early in the 6-10-day period across the western Canadian prairies. In the 8-14-day period, all models indicate potentially substantial rainfall for much of the Canadian Prairies and the remainder of Southern Canada.

Vividly displayed to start meteorological summer is the influence a large area of wet soil conditions has on the prevailing weather pattern. The mid-to-late spring heavy rains have turned the Mid-south U.S. (and vicinity) soaking wet. The 15-day temperature anomaly outlook by AI Graph Cast projects a large area of suppressed heat risk across the wet soil region (and vicinity).

A notable difference between the AI Graph Cast and ECM ENS rainfall forecasts for North America during the past 30 days. The AI Graph Cast is too dry across the U.S. AG Belt while ECM ENS is too wet especially in Iowa.