The ECM ENS 15-day percent of normal precipitation forecast yield additional impressive amount across California. The storminess extends inland across the Great Basin to the North-central U.S. mostly as snow. Interestingly, forecast models maintain the stormy pattern in California despite an easing of the sharp -PNA pattern of the past couple weeks.

he summer of 2022-23 wet monsoon across Northern Australia remains impressive. Many areas observed excessive rainfall last week including much of the north and northeast portion of the continent. Patchy moderate rains were observed on the northwest and east coast. Of concern is the 10-day outlook which unloads excessive rainfall across a large swath of Queensland.

A dangerous set-up for tornadoes and extreme rain is ahead this afternoon/overnight for Texas to Arkansas. The strongest radar echoes based on the HRRR model forecast is at 6PM CST when rapidly developing severe weather stretches from central Texas to southeast Oklahoma.

During the past few months dry soil conditions have developed in Northeast India with a westward advance toward the wheat, soybean, and corn growing areas. The latest week 2-4 forecast indicates benefical rains to ease drought concern in the mid-March forecast.