We’ve seen a plethora of category-5 major tropical cyclones in recent years including Surigae to the east of the Philippines yesterday. In each case, the tropical cyclone intensified rapidly due to passage over warm water plumes.

Severe flooding continues to occur across rain-soaked Louisiana. River flooding will expand across most of Louisiana and southern Mississippi today. Another day of excessive rainfall and severe weather already underway will intensify drifting eastward across Louisiana into southern Mississippi and coastal Alabama today.

The latest NOAA/CPC long-lead probability forecasts for the U.S. for the month ahead (May) and seasonal (MAY/JUN/JUL) outlook indicates EXTREME climate risk ahead!

In today’s updated summer 2021 outlook the temperature trend was much warmer and the CDD forecasts show that change particularly in July and August. The July forecast roared from 374 to 400 CDD while August surged from 322 to 340 CDD.