The U.S. November 2022 thermal climate produced two distinct patterns: Cold West and warm East. The West U.S. finished the month in the top 10 coldest (for November) in the 128-year historical record. Idaho finished 4th coldest all-time. In the East, New England, North Carolina and Florida each finished in the top 10 all-time warmest for November. Nationally, the U.S. ranked 44 of 128 years where 1 is coldest and 128 is warmest.

During November 2022, the wet monsoon arrived early and soaked Northern Australia. The focus of a wet climate across the North subtracted wet risk from the central East Coast where a surprisingly dry regime was observed.

At midday, forecast models indicated a negative phase North Atlantic oscillation inspire upper trough shifted farther east and over Western Europe causing a colder 15-day forecast change and igniting a Southwest Europe to Southwest/West Russia storm track.

Evolution of negative North Atlantic oscillation inevitably leads to a cold trough on the East Coast. Coupled with expanding snow cover, the U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast trends to colder than normal for the next 2 weeks.