At midday, forecast models indicated a negative phase North Atlantic oscillation inspire upper trough shifted farther east and over Western Europe causing a colder 15-day forecast change and igniting a Southwest Europe to Southwest/West Russia storm track.

Evolution of negative North Atlantic oscillation inevitably leads to a cold trough on the East Coast. Coupled with expanding snow cover, the U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast trends to colder than normal for the next 2 weeks.

An ALERT is issued for an excessive heat risk centered on Argentina for much of the next 2 weeks. The peak hot day is likely Dec. 7, 2022, when 105-115F is projected across North-central Argentina.

A large region of dry soils (and drought) across the northern half of Argentina attracts anomalous heat and more dryness as meteorological summer begins and Argentina drought worsens.