While 11-15-day forecasts are disagreeable on whether the heavy rain pattern fades in Northeast/East Australia, the 10-day forecasts are confident. The ECM ENS indicates up to 12 inches of rain for Southwest Queensland in their latest 10-day outlook.  

The North Atlantic basin remains warmer than normal but not as warm as one year ago. The main development region (MDR) has cooled to near normal. A marine heatwave in the subtropical North Atlantic remains but has weakened while very warm SSTA continue in the Caribbean Sea and parts of the Gulf of Mexico.

The Modoki index continues to strengthen as La Nina characteristics persist near the Dateline while warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific is dramatic. Currently, one of the strongest La Nina Modoki episodes on record is strengthening.

The latest NOAA/NWS weather watch, warning, and advisory areas reveal a large area of high wind across the Great Plains extending to the Ohio and Tennessee Valley. Risk of tornadoes extends from Missouri/Illinois to Mississippi for later today and tonight.