The core of the heavy rain, featuring up to 15 inches across central and northeast Arkansas stretching to the Ohio Valley has abated. However, the attendant flooding and rapid stream flows will continue. Fortunately, a dry period is ahead for the flood zone.

As mid-summer arrives, NCEP/CAS projects widening wet soils in the East while drought risk is highest in the Great Plains. A wet Southwest U.S. Monsoon is expected and weakens parts of the Southwest U.S. drought zone.

After this week's extreme rainfall and flooding, the following cold remains impressive with GFS indicating morning low temperatures close to 20F below normal next TUE, WED, and THU morning from the Midwest to Northeast U.S.

Expect unseasonably chilly air to emerge in the 8-14-day period with coolest anomalies across East Europe and West Russia. Threshold temperatures include <32F across much of central and east portions of Europe and west sections of Russia in the 6-10-day period.