News
04/23/2024, 7:58 am EDT

Prohibitive Wet Weather Ahead for Central U.S.

Persistent cool phase Pacific decadal oscillation causes return visits of an upper trough into the West U.S. and that pattern redevelops to close April. A moist southerly flow develops over the Great Plains ahead of the trough and causes heavy to excessive rain in the Great Plains heading into early Maine.
04/22/2024, 1:37 pm EDT

12Z GFS Cold Bias Polar Region; Warm Bias Near U.S./Canada Border Past 30 Days

The midday 12Z GFS temperature bias for the 6-10-day period during the past 30 days is marginally warm in Southern Canada and the North-central U.S. but overall reasonable skill. In the 11-15-day period, the polar region is much too cool while forecast bias near the U.S./Canada border has averaged too warm.
04/18/2024, 11:52 am EDT

Latest NOAA/CPC Long-lead Climate Outlooks; Hot Risk Most of U.S. Summertime

Meteorological summer (JUN/JUL/AUG) 2024 remains forecast warmer than normal for all but North Dakota with highest hot weather probability likely from the Interior Northwest to Western Texas and in New England. The precipitation outlook is biased wet in the East and Southeast U.S. while West-central States including the western Great Plains are drier than normal.
04/15/2024, 6:04 am EDT

Flooding Rains Russia’s Kurgan Region

Heavy rain has caused flooding in Russia’s Kurgan region in recent days. This part of the Russia spring wheat growing area. Additional flooding is expected due to the rising Tobol River through this region.