Both ECM and AIFS agree that heavy rain evolves across Southeast Australia in the 10-day rainfall forecast. The bulk of the rain is in the 6-10-day period. During that time, a low-pressure area moves southwest to northeast across New South Wales focusing heavy rain along and south of the track.

In the latest (GFS) 15-day outlook, wet weather consolidates in Southwest Europe with a new wet zone emerging across the Black Sea region. The GFS indicates potential for excessive rainfall along the coastal portions of the Black Sea. However, limited rainfall reaches parched Southwest Russia. The GFS is the wettest of the operational models for both regions.

A wet pattern is ahead in South America. The ECM week-2 outlook valid for next week indicates two areas of heavy rain. One area is in Argentina and the second across central/northeast Brazil. Both zones are encountering drought and need rainfall. ECM indicates gradual regeneration of a drier pattern holding off until November.

The HWRF and HMON models indicate an extremely dangerous storm well into the category-4 major hurricane intensity with minimum pressure in the 923-924 MB range as the storm is offshore and approaching the central West Coast of Florida.