News
08/21/2024, 5:22 am EDT
08/21/2024, 5:22 am EDT

Eastern Europe Heatwave Ahead

AIFS projects an upper ridge developing along the Eastern Europe/Western Russia border this weekend and amplifying during the medium range. The sensible weather forecast projects very warm to hot weather beneath the ridge. High temperatures reach 35C in Ukraine to Southwest Russia with 40C possible near and east of Caspian Sea into Kazakhstan. 35-40C threaten Southeast Europe.
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08/19/2024, 8:31 am EDT
08/19/2024, 8:31 am EDT

The 2024 Tropical Cyclone Activity Is Lagging The Analogs

The tropical cyclone activity for 2024 so far is slightly above normal for the date. However, unfolding (and likely to continue) is the seasonal activity amount lagging well behind the analog years used to generate the 2024 tropical cyclone season forecast.
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08/18/2024, 12:02 pm EDT
08/18/2024, 12:02 pm EDT

Remains of Ernesto Gust Across Ireland/U.K. Thursday

A brief period of damaging high wind associated with former Hurricane Ernesto is forecast to streak across Ireland and U.K. during the daytime hours on Thursday featuring potential for hurricane force gusts.
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08/13/2024, 8:10 am EDT
08/13/2024, 8:10 am EDT

The Norwegian Sea Marine Heatwave

The latest Europe/Russia week 2-4 outlook begins with a look at a gigantic marine heatwave centered on the Norwegian Sea and extending northward. By far, the strongest anomalous warming in this region on record and well-correlated to an upper-level high pressure ridge.
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