The cool waters across the equatorial Pacific Ocean subsurface to fuel La Nina is losing intensity. The anomalous cool waters present now is capable of marginal La Nina generation.

The NOAA/CPC Seasonal Drought Outlook weakens the Midwest and Interior Northwest drought conditions while maintaining drought in the Northeast Corridor, northwest Great Plains, and much of the southern states.

The NOAA/WPC 7-day quantitative precipitation (QPF) forecast projects 10-20 in. of rain (and many feet of mountain snow) centered on Northern California. The persistent storm track through the weekend is part of an "atmospheric river" storm track.

A stormy weather pattern develops on the West Coast this week. Heaviest precipitation is on the Northwest Coast early this week shifting the California Coast late this week/weekend. ECM ENS maintains the stormy pattern across California next week.