News
12/29/2024, 10:02 am EST

U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Forecasts Trending Colder/Longer Duration

The U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast certainly identifies the increasing heating demand. Utilizing all models, the HDD forecast consensus through mid-January is colder than yesterday and trend colder for the second half of January into early February according to CFS V2/ECM consensus. The longer duration cold will occur if snow cover expansion is sustained late in January.
12/27/2024, 7:22 am EST

Forecast Change: Models See Arctic Air Western Canada Days 6-10; Ejected Eastward Days 8-14/11-15!

Overnight, the U.S. gas population weight HDD forecast for Jan. 3-9 was revised colder by ALL models (except GFS). During Jan. 10-16, U.S. heating demand settles to the 30-year normal. The extended range HDD forecasts for the second half of January are near to below normal. Consequently, Jan. 3-9 is the coldest week of mid-winter.
12/26/2024, 4:20 am EST

Stratospheric Cooling/La Nina Climate Strengthening: Trend Is Away from Important Cold East U.S. in January

In a new twist, ECM is forecasting a cold stratosphere across the polar region and eastern North America in the 11-15-day period. Elusive stratospheric warming shifts to Eurasia. Beneath the cold stratosphere, GFS indicates a mild ridge pattern in the East U.S. instead of an evolving polar vortex pattern as previously reported.
12/24/2024, 9:47 am EST

Dealing With Cold Weather After Holiday Season in U.S.

An expected cold change in January for North America is indicated by ECMWF which is vividly much colder in the extended range outlook. Most of the precipitation across the Northern U.S. is snow helping to enhance the cold.