Chart of the day: Europe soil moisture anomalies.
Discussion: Europe soil moisture anomalies continue to indicate a drying trend due to the ongoing heatwave and attendant dryness. The 10-day outlook by ECM maintains the dry pattern while farther to the East, the southern portion of Russia is quite wet.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid August 1-7, 2022: The heat is strongest in Spain to France; widespread dryness dominates!
Discussion: High-pressure ridging is more orientated toward Spain where the already hot forecast trends hotter. The East/Southeast Europe heat is less intense. The outlook is mostly dry as drought conditions expand and intensify.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid August 8-14, 2022: No pattern change…drought expansion.
Discussion: Ongoing drought expansion in Europe into mid-August as the pattern remains mostly dry and hot!
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid August 15-21, 2022: Maybe some East Europe showers.
Discussion: Signs of wetter weather in Eastern Europe while central and western sections stay dry and somewhat warmer than normal.