Europe Drought Pattern to Fade

The China Drought Catalyst
08/22/2022, 4:50 am EDT
Mostly Very Warm Weekly Population Weight CDD Totals Summer 2022 in U.S.
08/30/2022, 8:21 am EDT
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Charts of the day: Last week’s rainfall and Rhine River level forecast.

Discussion: Last week the wet weather pattern was impressive across Central and especially East/Southeast Europe. Rainfall was sufficient to turn-around the Rhine River level forecast which is still critically low but substantially improved from a week ago and additional improvement is expected!

Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid September 5-11, 2022: Another wet upper trough for Europe.

Discussion: Another transient upper-level low-pressure trough brings wet weather to Western Europe. The rains will extend eastward across Europe during the week. Hot weather is suppressed southward to Southern Italy.

Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid September 12-18, 2022: Marginally warm/showery pattern.

Discussion: Wet weather remains focused on East/Southeast Europe, similar to the previous forecast. However, Western Europe also trends showery. The outlook is warmer than previously indicated.

Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid September 19-25, 2022: Southeast Europe to stay wet.

Discussion: Upper trough brings a temperate pattern and maintains wet risk across East/Southeast Europe and into the Black Sea region. France and Spain trend drier on the backside of the upper trough pattern.